Each quarter we explore a topic that we believe is relevant for our clients in understanding the current investment environment and the markets.
Investment Perspectives 2Q July 2014
The decline in global interest rates from already historically low levels at the beginning of this year has caught many investors by surprise. At the end of 2013, expectations were for increasing worldwide growth and inflation, which should have resulted in somewhat higher interest rates. Yet, in virtually every important country, rates on government bonds have fallen since January.
Investment Perspectives 1Q January 2014
2013 was an excellent year if you invested in stocks. U.S. equity markets led the way, advancing over 30% for the year and achieving record highs for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrials. Developed foreign equity markets also fared well with most delivering double-digit returns.
Investment Perspectives 3Q October 2013
It has been five years since the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the unofficial beginning of the global financial crisis. While the Lehman bankruptcy occurred in September 2008, the record will show that the U.S. recession actually started in December 2007 and ended in the summer of 2009. Some indicators have returned to well above their pre-crisis peaks, while a number of others have lagged. In this piece we review the primary causes of the crisis and discuss the uneven recovery we have experienced to date.
Investment Perspectives 2Q July 2013
The investment topic of the year, so far, seems to be the elevated level of the US stock market. In May 2013, the S&P 500 achieved an all-time closing high of 1669. Despite a correction in June, the index closed at the highest quarter-end level in history. Over the years we find that at new highs (and new lows) emotional involvement increases with each session. Experience tells us that the key factor at these high and low points should not be emotional reaction to what has happened but a strong conviction about what is coming next.
Investment Perspectives 1Q January 2013
We believe that 2012 was a watershed year for Europe. New leadership at the European Central Bank (ECB), new political leaders in Italy, Spain, and Greece, and a new and Read More
We believe that 2012 was a watershed year for Europe. New leadership at the European Central Bank (ECB), new political leaders in Italy, Spain, and Greece, and a new and constructive attitude towards Greek debt were signal events.
Investment Perspectives 4Q Jan 2012
Many investors found that 2011 was both more volatile and less rewarding than past years, as shown in the table below. However, the US market easily surpassed other areas of the world
BSAS Program Event – David Scudder Talk
My talk today has two parts: general and specific. The general deals with my outlook for investing overall in today’s most uncertain world. It will be, in my judgment, a world of low absolute returns, for a period of possibly a few years. The specific part of my talk refers to the desire for achieving tax efficiency in today’s investment climate.
Investment Perspectives – 3Q Oct 2011
The $1 trillion U.S. Federal Budget deficit has attracted both national and global attention. If the deficit’s projected growth continues unchecked, we risk severe consequences, including higher interest rates and a prolonged period of anemic economic growth.
Investment Perspectives 2Q July 2011
Today’s investors must recognize two key developments: first, the growing economic extremes between the world’s wealthiest people and the poorest (particularly in the U.S.); second, the differing prospects of the middle class in the emerging versus developed world. This paper examines the investment implications of these contrasting profiles and discusses some of the opportunities and risks that they represent.
Archived Investment Perspectives